Roland Garros – the draw

 

The main draw for the upcoming French Open is ready.

Needless to say the grand question was Roger Federer´s position in the draw? As we know he only managed to keep his recaptured position as number two for a week. Rafael Nadal´s victory in Rome allowed him immediately to take back his position after Novak Djokovic.

The draw shows Federer and Djokovic on the upper part, which of course makes Nadal rubbing hands. Being unloaded of the claim to win back to back matches against his two worst rivals makes him an even larger favorite in the tournament.

Federer goes in the first round against my former German team mate, Tobias Kamke. Toby has one of the fastest pair of feet to be found on the tour, but is otherwise without sufficient weapons on this level. But he´ll at least be an experience richer than before.

Roger´s first test however turns up in the next round against David Nalbandian. There is always good show between those two.

Despite of Nalbandian, Federer must be expected to proceed quite easily to quarters. There he must take on Berdych or Del Potro – which will be considerably tougher.

For Novak Djokovic the route to semi seems more comfortable. He is seeded against Tsonga in quarters, but the French not known as a clay actor, cannot be expected to be there. In that case I have more faith in Federer´s own compatriot Wawrinka – or feather light Gilles Simon who has had a decent clay season so far.

As everybody knows it´ll take a minor miracle to prevent Rafa from reaching final in Paris. In my own imagination I can indeed picture a peak of event in terms of a fourth round between Rafael Nadal and Milos Raonic!

In that case I look for a dry and quite hot day with Raonic´ monster serve and his forehand on top. He also needs to follow up to the net. Before this happens Raonic must proof his concept against a most motivated and strong clay rat, like Juan Monaco.

What about Andy Murray?

Well, there is nothing wrong with his draw – although he´s displayed some slight weakness in his clay game recently, he should reach quarters as a best guess. Once there, he will most certainly be expected by perpetum mobile David Ferrer. Or, can John Isner take down Ferrer? It´s possible, but I don´t believe that will happen in best of five sets.

Also to look for is a first rendez-vous between to coming guns – Grigor Dimitrov (read about him here) and Donald Young.